Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 88.1%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 39 minutes
3 janv. 26, 20:44 UTC31 déc. 27, 20:44 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?
Manifold MarketsGPT 7 (OpenAI) release date
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release a robotics model?
Manifold MarketsWhich Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?
PolymarketWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- As of late 2025, there is no confirmed release date for ChatGPT-6, and OpenAI has explicitly stated it will not arrive in 2025.
- This market resolves YES if OpenAI releases a product officially named "ChatGPT6" (or any variant like "ChatGPT-6", "ChatGPT 6", etc.) by December 31, 2027.
- Resolution will be based on official OpenAI announcements, press releases, or product availability on OpenAI's website or official channels.
- The market resolves NO if no such product is released by the deadline.
- On October 18, 2025, OpenAI officially confirmed that GPT-6 will not ship this year, and the company continues to refine GPT-5 and its reasoning variants while preparing the infrastructure for the next generation.