PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 76%-0.5pt
Qualité du marché
51 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
61,2 €
Liquidité
3,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
21.0% / 27.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
37
Variation 7j
-2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
12 déc. 25, 18:29 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Anduril release a product or service with a name that references Smash Bros by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PolymarketWill Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product.
- Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Apple.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
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+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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- Before April 2027-2.0pt67%
- Before March 2027+1.0pt20.8%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.6%
+2 résultats de plus
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- 91° or above+9.0pt95.2%
- 89° to 90°-9.0pt1%
- 87° to 88°-1.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Anthropic89%
- OpenAI+0.1pt9%
- Google+0.3pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
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- 84° or above+37.0pt95.2%
- 75° or below-8.0pt1%
- 80° to 81°-9.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 76% au 11 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Où Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets.