Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.5%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète28 oct. 25, 08:38 UTC30 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS]
Manifold MarketsWill the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketWill Ukraine target Moscow on?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if Russia and Ukraine announce a publicly agreed, mutually binding ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution criteria: Official announcements from both governments or wide consensus of credible media reporting (Reuters, AP, BBC, etc.) confirming an official ceasefire agreement.
- Humanitarian pauses or unilateral ceasefires do not count.