Could a direct war between Israel and Iran trigger a global conflict?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East6moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 81.7%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète16 mars 26, 15:16 UTC16 mars 27, 15:16 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which of the following things will happen in the 2026 USA/Israel vs. Iran conflict by the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWill Russia and/or China get involved with the US/Israel and Iran situation before May begins
Manifold MarketsWill North and South Korea engage in direct talks by which date?
PolymarketNorth Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)
PolymarketRègles
This question is about global politics and international security.
- A war between Israel and Iran could involve other countries and alliances, which might turn a regional conflict into a wider global conflict.
- Experts worry that countries like the United States or other major powers could become involved, increasing the risk of a larger war
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Could a direct war between Israel and Iran trigger a global conflict? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Could a direct war between Israel and Iran trigger a global conflict? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Could a direct war between Israel and Iran trigger a global conflict? doit être résolu le 16 mars 2027.
- Comment Could a direct war between Israel and Iran trigger a global conflict? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question is about global politics and international security.