Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 64.3%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
2 août 23, 03:37 UTC9 oct. 35, 23:32 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories from 2025-2028 inclusive?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a fourth Korean Nobel Prize winner in 2026? Diaspora counts.
Manifold MarketsWill a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories in 2025 or 2026?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketRègles
Recent claim for the LK99 discovery has drawn much attention.
- Will there be a Nobel prize winner from Korea by 2035 ?
Marchés ouverts
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+11.2pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-33.9pt55%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 227,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 95,3 k €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.4pt5%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,6 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 109,1 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 8 k €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt46.1%
- Above 1+20.0pt38.5%
- Above 2-6.0pt7.7%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Can Korean scientists get Nobel prize by 2035 ? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 64% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Can Korean scientists get Nobel prize by 2035 ? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Can Korean scientists get Nobel prize by 2035 ? doit être résolu le 9 octobre 2035.
- Comment Can Korean scientists get Nobel prize by 2035 ? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Recent claim for the LK99 discovery has drawn much attention.