By the end of 2036, will US federal law guarantee $6,000/year in cash to a non-disabled adult with no income?
InflationOne-OffPolitique américaineÉconomiePolitique10aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.6%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard30 sept. 26, 00:08 UTC1 janv. 37, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PredictIt2029 inflation × 2028 winner
KalshiRègles
This market asks about a guaranteed income floor, universal or not.
- A negative income tax counts here, unlike in the companion UBI market and the amount ladder.
- Reference person.
- A single, childless, non-disabled US citizen aged 30 who lives in one of the 50 states or DC.
- They have no income, no assets and no work history, and are neither working nor looking for work.
- Resolves YES if, by December 31, 2036 (Eastern Time), federal law as enacted entitles this person, wherever they live in the 50 states or DC, to federal cash benefits worth at least $6,000 in 2026 dollars for some calendar year, summed across all federal programs.
