KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9% · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9% 22.5%En tête parmi 8 options
Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9% 22.5%Qualité du marché
65 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,2 k €
Intérêt ouvert
1,3 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
11 nov. 26, 22:30 UTC28 févr. 30, 13:29 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsWill the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsCPI YoY in November
KalshiRègles
If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and CPI inflation refers to the 12-month percent change in the all items Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, for December 2029, as first published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to one decimal place in its December 2029 CPI release. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), CPI inflation (YOYCPI). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “2.0% to 2.9%” includes both 2.0% and 2.9%, “4.0% or above” includes 4.0%, and “1.9% or below” includes 1.9%. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown
Règles de chaque résultat
- Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 3.0% to 3.9%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 3.0% to 3.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 4.0% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 4.0% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 4.0% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 4.0% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 3.0% to 3.9%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 3.0% to 3.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below, then the market resolves to Yes.
