PredictItVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution non vérifiéesRetail prediction exchange
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 4 sept. 2026, 04:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Méthodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Type de question
-
Volume 24h
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 48 minutes
En retard7 juil. 26, 14:561 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
100%
0%
Règles
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the U.S. House of Representatives votes to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of any sitting Article III Judge, subsequent to the launch of this market on July 7, 2026 and by the End Date listed below.
For purposes of resolving this market, Article III judges consist of judges of the following five types of courts: United States District Courts (including territorial courts), Article III United States Courts of Appeals, the United States Court of Federal Claims, the United States Court of International Trade, and the Supreme Court of the United States.
For purposes of resolving this market, Article III judges consist of judges of the following five types of courts: United States District Courts (including territorial courts), Article III United States Courts of Appeals, the United States Court of Federal Claims, the United States Court of International Trade, and the Supreme Court of the United States.
- Neither the Superior Court of the District of Columbia nor the District of Columbia Court of Appeals are considered part of the federal judiciary as defined in the Rules.
Neither trial nor conviction by the U.S. Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to cause this market to resolve as Yes.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Référence CoinRithm est de 10%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 20 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm 10% · 2 plateformes · 20 pt d’ecart entre venues
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 782,1 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.1pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe+1.5pt30.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.6%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt19%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva54.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt42.6%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 181,3 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 résultats de plus
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any US federal judge be impeached in 2026? ?
- PredictIt cote No à 100% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any US federal judge be impeached in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any US federal judge be impeached in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will any US federal judge be impeached in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- PredictIt règle ce marché comme suit : This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the U.S. House of Representatives votes to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of any sitting Article III Judge, subsequent to the launch of this market on July 7, 2026 and by the End Date listed below.<br /><br />For purposes of resolving this market, Article III judges consist of judges of the following five types of courts: United States District Courts (including territorial courts), Article III United States Courts of Appeals, the United States Court of Federal Claims, the United States Court of International Trade, and the Supreme Court of the United States.
- Où Will any US federal judge be impeached in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur.