Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?
PolitiqueGéopolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
January 20, 2029 (Whole term) 49.4%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
53
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète7 nov. 24, 19:29 UTC21 janv. 29, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Règles
Resolves YES if the Trump admin deploys federal law enforcement or the military to crack down on a protest by "radical left lunatics"
- I am defining crackdown here to mean a severe retaliation for a protest and/or riot, not necessarily done by any political affiliation (to not complicate the resolution criteria).
- This either means:
- 500+ arrests and/or 100+ injuries in a day across the US
- 2,000+ arrests and/or 400+ injuries in any 7-day period across the US
- (For reference, BLM protests and riots following George Floyd's death saw 14,000 arrests in ~a month)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date? ?
- Manifold Markets cote January 20, 2029 (Whole term) à 49% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date? doit être résolu le 21 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if the Trump admin deploys federal law enforcement or the military to crack down on a protest by "radical left lunatics"