Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?
PolitiqueGéopolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
January 20, 2029 (Whole term) 33.6%En tête parmi 5 options
January 20, 2029 (Whole term) 33.6%Prévisionnistes
53
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète7 nov. 24, 19:29 UTC21 janv. 29, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What is the largest number of people US federal law enforcement will kill in a single incident before January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump deploy the US military to the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsIf protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
Manifold MarketsWill Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
KalshiUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if the Trump admin deploys federal law enforcement or the military to crack down on a protest by "radical left lunatics"
- I am defining crackdown here to mean a severe retaliation for a protest and/or riot, not necessarily done by any political affiliation (to not complicate the resolution criteria).
- This either means:
- 500+ arrests and/or 100+ injuries in a day across the US
- 2,000+ arrests and/or 400+ injuries in any 7-day period across the US
- (For reference, BLM protests and riots following George Floyd's death saw 14,000 arrests in ~a month)