If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
US PoliticsOne-OffGéopolitique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 65.6%
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète8 juin 25, 05:39 UTC20 janv. 29, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
I'll look at the net approval rating at https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin one week after at least one protestor got shot by law enforcement.
- It doesn't matter what agency the agent was from who shot the protestor(s).
- National guard or military counts as well, as long as it happened while they were on duty, responding to a protest.
- If no protestors get shot during the second term I'll resolve the market N/A. If net approval is exactly identical in Silver's report, this resolves NO, since it didn't go up.
- It's irrelevant for the market condition if the protestor survives.
- As long as they were hit by a proper, potentially deadly bullet, not rubber bullets or teargas or similar, it counts.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 66% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I'll look at the net approval rating at https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin one week after at least one protestor got shot by law enforcement.