Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
TechOne-Off2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 56.6%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète8 janv. 25, 14:50 UTC21 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
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Background: WhatsApp, owned by Meta, currently uses end-to-end encryption for all messages, meaning only the sender and recipient can read message contents.
- While WhatsApp can and does share certain metadata with law enforcement, they cannot access the actual content of encrypted messages in the current version of the Whatsapp software.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if, before January 20, 2029, one of the listed Internet news sites reports that Meta has provided the content of at least one WhatsApp message to a US law enforcement agency. "Content" refers to the actual text, images, videos, or other media sent in messages, not to metadata such as user names, IP addresses, or timestamps.
- Internet news sites: 404 Media, Ars Technica, Business Insider, The Markup, ProPublica, The Register, TechCrunch, The Verge.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029? doit être résolu le 21 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Background: WhatsApp, owned by Meta, currently uses end-to-end encryption for all messages, meaning only the sender and recipient can read message contents.