Will Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
TechOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 63.9%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète8 janv. 25, 19:34 UTC21 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
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Règles
Background: iMessage, owned by Apple, currently uses end-to-end encryption for all messages, meaning only the sender and recipient can read message contents.
- While Apple can and does share certain metadata with law enforcement, they cannot access the actual content of encrypted messages in the current version of the iMessage software.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if, before January 20, 2029, one of the listed Internet news sites reports that Apple has provided the content of at least one iMessage message to a US law enforcement agency. "Content" refers to the actual text, images, videos, or other media sent in messages, not to metadata such as user names, IP addresses, or timestamps.
- Internet news sites: 404 Media, Ars Technica, Business Insider, The Markup, ProPublica, The Register, TechCrunch, The Verge.
