PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
↑ 47% 14%+0.3ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
12,8 €
Liquidité
5,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
4.9 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
12 déc. 25, 00:41 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
LimitlessHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote ↑ 47% à 14% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026.