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Données au 9 sept. 2026, 00:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
35% 25.9%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
26 août 26, 13:14 UTC4 janv. 27, 17:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026.
Manifold MarketsRègles
30% · 35% · 25% · 20%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? ?
- Limitless cote 35% à 26% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? doit être résolu le 4 janvier 2027.
- Comment How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Limitless règle ce marché comme suit : 30% · 35% · 25% · 20%. <p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026.
- Où How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket, Smarkets.