By 2028, will there be a public instance of an AI cybersecurity system autonomously replicating itself?
IAOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 64.1%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète29 juin 23, 17:55 UTC31 déc. 27, 06:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketTencent market share this week
KalshiRègles
Yes: There is at least one publicly reported instance.
- No: There are no publicly reported instances.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.6pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt12.6%
- Gemini+1.6pt10.7%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10 M €
- Volume 24h
- 87,4 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-11.0pt69%
- December 15,-8.5pt65%
- November 30,-5.0pt50%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+18.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 228,5 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+13.0pt99%
- Above 24.7%+30.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%+1.0pt99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19.8%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.7%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 239,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 53,3 k €
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- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
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- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour By 2028, will there be a public instance of an AI cybersecurity system autonomously replicating itself? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 64% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand By 2028, will there be a public instance of an AI cybersecurity system autonomously replicating itself? sera-t-il résolu ?
- By 2028, will there be a public instance of an AI cybersecurity system autonomously replicating itself? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment By 2028, will there be a public instance of an AI cybersecurity system autonomously replicating itself? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Yes: There is at least one publicly reported instance.