When will an AI system autonomously build and operate a production software platform serving 1,000+ active users?
IAOne-Off3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore Dec 2032 48.4%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète28 févr. 26, 01:44 UTC28 févr. 27, 01:43 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Domain-Specific AGI in software engineering: a single AI system takes a novel product spec and autonomously architects, builds, deploys, and operates a production-grade platform (auth, scaling, monitoring, CI/CD, security, database — at least 3 of 6) for 1,000+ active users over 60 days, handling ops autonomously.
- No human code contributions or debugging.
- Independently verified.
- Full methodology and definitions: https://www.future-shock.ai/research/agi-predictions
- Future Shock ensemble prediction: March 2027 (±6 months).
- Also submitted to Metaculus.
