At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
Russie / UkraineOne-OffManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 60.5%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard21 mai 24, 15:39 UTC31 déc. 49, 19:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
At any point before the start of 2050, will a country named Siberia (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
Manifold MarketsAt any point before start of 2050, will a country named Yakutia or Sakha (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
Manifold MarketsWill the head of state of [country] officially be named [title] of that country on any day in 2039?
Manifold MarketsThe head of state of which [country] will first officially be named [title] of that country?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
PolymarketPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketRègles
"Chechen republic" and similar stuff would also count.
- The purpose of this market is to predict if Chechnya would secede from Russia.
- Resolves negatively if the United Nations themselves cease to exist before Chechnya can join them as an independent state.
- Check out my similar markets about Sakha and Siberia in general:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/wadimiusz/at-any-point-before-start-of-2050-w)(https://manifold.markets/embed/market/at-any-point-before-the-start-of-20)