At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Yakutia or Sakha (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
Russie / UkraineOne-OffManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.9%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 42 minutes
6 mai 24, 07:27 UTC31 déc. 49, 19:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Something like "Republic of Sakha", "Sakha federation", "Yakut republic" etc. would also count.
- The purpose of this market is to predict if the Sakha republic would secede from Russia.
- If a country with a similar name is member of the UN that has no relation whatsoever to the Sakha republic that is currently part of Russia, this is not enough to trigger a YES resolution.
- This question refers to some kind of descendant of the current Sakha republic.
- Check out my similar markets about Siberia in general, as well as Chechnya
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/wadimiusz/at-any-point-before-start-of-2050-w-577334d56c4e):
