![The head of state of which [country] will first officially be named [title] of that country?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2F8Kraken8%252F4c50f1a86df8.jpg&w=128&q=80)
The head of state of which [country] will first officially be named [title] of that country?
Moyen-OrientOne-OffRussie / Ukraine
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
None before 2070 55.8%En tête parmi 12 options
None before 2070 55.8%Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète8 févr. 24, 17:23 UTC1 janv. 70, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Whichever combination of title and country comes to be first will be the chosen answer.
- Note that only the official title is necessary, even if they are e.g. still chosen by regular elections.
- The answer needs to be the official title or a generally accepted English translation of the title.
- Resolves as 'Yes' for an option if the name of the title would be as listed if its holder had a different gender (e.g. 'Tsarina' or 'Tsaritsa' instead of 'Tsar').
- Does not count if the country ceases to meaningfully exist or as long as it retains less that 10% of the territory it had in January 2024.
- A country changing its name can still resolve as 'Yes', e.g. if Iran becomes Persia and gets a Shah, it would count.
