Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 83.4%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète12 avr. 26, 01:24 UTC21 janv. 31, 02:17 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ?
Manifold MarketsWill China fake their first "lunar landing"?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's Artemis refuelling launches have a 100% landing success rate?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing?
Manifold MarketsHuman moon landing in 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if Artemis lands on moon with boots on lunar surface before Chinese human boots on the lunar surface, AND Chinese do not land on lunar surface with human boots within 2 years OR immediately totally shift focus to another solar body for astronaut landings.
- Resolves NO if Chinese put human boots on the moon before Artemis OR within 2 years of Artemis human lunar landing Chinese replicate the feat.
- Market will be extended as necessary but resolves once clarity.
- Sources will be official communications of the relevant national space agencies or eminently reliable reporting.
