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Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ?

TechOne-OffSpace4a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 81%

Prévisionnistes

16

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 heures

Obsolète

25 août 26, 09:41 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

Artemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions?

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Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman becomes Secretary General of the United Nations?

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Will Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?

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Human moon landing in 2026?

NASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

Règles

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, during the first crewed lunar surface landing of the Artemis program, at least one of the astronauts who descends to and physically sets foot on the Moon's surface is a woman.
This market resolves to NO if the first crewed lunar landing occurs and the landing crew—specifically those who physically set foot on the surface—is entirely male.
Rules and Edge Cases:
Only Surface Walkers Count: Resolution is based strictly on the astronauts who descend to and walk on the lunar surface.
Crew members who remain in lunar orbit (e.g., aboard the Orion spacecraft or Gateway) do not count.

Marchés ouverts

BTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?

$78,400 or above99%
$78,300 or above99%
$78,200 or above99%

+97 résultats de plus

Volume total: 944,1 k €
Volume 24h: 721,8 k €

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?

90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
84° to 85°-8.0pt1%

+3 résultats de plus

Volume total

BTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target

No73%
Yes27%

Volume total: 620 k €
Volume 24h: 536 k €

Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons

Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%

Volume total: 514,9 k €
Volume 24h: 496,9 k €

Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?

New Orleans+48.0pt99%
Houston+70.0pt99%
Minneapolis+17.0pt99%

+19 résultats de plus

Volume total

Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?

80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
79° or below-3.0pt1%
82° to 83°-44.0pt1%

+3 résultats de plus

Volume total

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ? ?: Manifold Markets cote Yes à 81% au 9 septembre 2026.
Quand Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ? sera-t-il résolu ?: Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
Comment Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria

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