Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 95.6%
Prévisionnistes
189
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
24 août 26, 11:37 UTC30 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRègles
Millennium Prize Problems - Wikipedia
- Must not have already been solved by humans.
- The substantial work must be done by an AI system
- Human assistance to the AI is allowed
- AI assistance to humans is not sufficient for resolution
- Update 2026-09-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - This market resolves based on the announcement of a solution in September 2026.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Millennium Prize Problems - Wikipedia