Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 96.3%
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
4 juil. 25, 03:25 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if AI is reported by reputable sources to have solved one of the 'Unsolved problems' on this webpage: https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
- Resolves NO otherwise
- Clarification: There should have been no human assistance whatsoever in solving the problem.
- AI-assisted proofs do not count for resolution.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if AI is reported by reputable sources to have solved one of the 'Unsolved problems' on this webpage: https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/