Prévision communautaire actuelle
Up 5% to 14% 57.7%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète15 déc. 25, 23:29 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Nasdaq Composite close 15% or more below its all-time high by April 2, 2027? (4/2/27)
Manifold MarketsHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Manifold MarketsDaily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Simple question: what will be the percentage difference between the S&P500 at the opening bell on the first trading day of 2026, compared to the closing bell on the last trading day of 2026.
- AI bubbles correction? interest rate cuts?
- Note these are days and hours in which the U.S. market is open, and not any after hours trading, or trading on international markets in different time
- Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the percentage change of the S&P 500 between the opening price on the first trading day of 2026 and the closing price on the last trading day of 2026.
- Only regular market hours (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET) count; after-hours trading is excluded.
