Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 57.3%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
5 août 26, 15:03 UTC1 avr. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will SpaceX outperform the Nasdaq Composite's total return in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)
Manifold MarketsUS military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026?
Manifold MarketsBrazilian corn crop to reach all-time high in 2026/27?
FutuurBrazilian soybean crop to reach all-time high in 2026/27?
FutuurWill the Korean stock market hit an all time high within 6 months?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on any trading day from the market's creation date through April 2, 2027, the Nasdaq Composite Index (ticker: ^IXIC) closes at a price that is 15% or more below its highest closing price achieved up to that date (the running all-time high).
- If the Nasdaq Composite does not experience a daily closing drawdown of 15% or more from its running all-time high at any point during this period, the market will resolve to NO.
- Source of Truth: Daily historical closing data from Yahoo Finance ^IXIC or another major financial data provider such as Google Finance.
- Running All-Time High Definition: The highest daily closing price achieved by the Nasdaq Composite in its history up to the trading day in question.
- As of August 2026, the record closing high is 27,093.90 (set on June 2, 2026), meaning a daily close at or below 23,029.81 would trigger a YES.
