Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 53%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète13 mai 25, 16:48 UTC2 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill the US military control at least ten percent of Iran by area at any point during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran strike US military base at least once before November?
Manifold MarketsUS military draft authorized in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI stick to its commitment to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military using its AI by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsConfirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026
Manifold MarketsRègles
https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending
- 2010 was the year with the highest total US military spending so far.
- This market resolves to yes if Our World in Data (or a suitable replacement if it stops being a reliable source) shows the military spending of 2025 or 2026 to be above the 2010 total, adjusted for inflation.
- If they're all lower (or the US is no longer a country at that point), this resolves to no.
- If that data becomes completely unavailable, this resolves to N/A.
