2026 a nightmare year for Trump?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 2026 a nightmare year for Trump? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 28 octobre 2026.

Quand 2026 a nightmare year for Trump? sera-t-il résolu ?

2026 a nightmare year for Trump? doit être résolu le 27 novembre 2026.

Comment 2026 a nightmare year for Trump? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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KALSHI

Russia unemployment rate in September

• Above 1.9%+16.0pt77%
• Above 2.0%+10.0pt69.5%
• Above 2.1%+9.0pt78%

+4 résultats de plus

Volume total

74,5 k €

Volume 24h

64,1 k €

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%-1.0pt94.5%
• Above 0.1%+1.0pt75.5%
• Above 0.2%+5.0pt

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

• Above 1.0%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.0%99%
• Above 0.5%99.5%

KALSHI

Unemployment in October

• Above 3.7%99%
• Above 3.8%98.5%
• Above 3.9%97.5%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.0%99%
• Above 0.1%89.5%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.0%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 3.3%+1.0pt97.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%

• Recession in 2027?
• US recession by end of 2026?
• Core CPI YoY in December
• China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
• US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• CPI in November
• Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
• Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
• How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
• US jobs revisions in the report covering October 2026
• Core CPI in November