Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.8%
Prévisionnistes
142
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
3 sept. 25, 13:07 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will the next US recession start?
KalshiUS recession in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS recession by end of 2027?
PolymarketWhen will the next US recession be?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next US recession begin?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the Presidency? Will there be a US recession between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive)?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves yes if there are two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth in the United States from Q1 2026 to Q4 2026 inclusive, according to advance estimates from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- Otherwise resolves no.