KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleQ4 2024 1%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
157,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
0.3% / 51.0%
Spread
16900.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
19 mars 25, 14:0031 déc. 26, 15:00
Tendances
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Q4 20241%
Tendance du volume
$2222 juil.19j de données23 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
9,3 k €Above 3.4%: 29%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9 k €0-1%: 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Recession this year?
3,2 k €Oui: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
2026: Trump's dream year?
1,8 k €Oui: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,5 k €Soft Landing: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
395,5 €Oui: 16.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Règles
If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q4 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification 4/15/25 3:00 AM ET: The determination for this market will be based on which quarter NBER highlights (independent of the month they highlight).
- For example, the most recent recession written as "February 2020 (2019Q4)" would resolve YES for the market called "Q4 2019" (if this was listed).
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q1 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q2 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q3 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.