KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 72%
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,2 k €
Liquidité
688,5 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
72.0% / 74.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
17 août 26, 22:00 UTC31 mars 27, 15:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
PolymarketUK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS
Manifold MarketsWill the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.2% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.7% in December 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If the first non-preliminary Wyoming's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for every month from July through December 2026 inclusive, is strictly below
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for Wyoming, expressed as a percentage of the civilian labor force and published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics through the Local Area Unemployment Statistics program.
Marchés ouverts
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 97,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,8 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 702,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 400 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,5 k €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,3 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volume total
- 2,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,9 k €
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 72% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 mars 2027.
- Comment Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the first non-preliminary Wyoming's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for every month from July through December 2026 inclusive, is strictly below