KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 88%
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
72,7 €
Liquidité
72,7 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
12.0% / 16.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
7 sept. 26, 21:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk spend a month in outer space?
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FutuurRègles
If the US agrees to or announces withdrawal from the Outer Space Treaty after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Announcements with specified future implementation dates qualify.
- Effective withdrawal need not occur before the deadline.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the US agrees to or announces withdrawal from the Outer Space Treaty after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.