KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Disney+ 94%En tête parmi 20 options
Qualité du marché
53 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
64,4 €
Liquidité
11,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
19 juin 26, 14:00 UTC15 févr. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketWill Eliezer Yudkowsky be in ARTIFICIAL, the movie about OpenAI and the firing and rehiring of Sam Altman
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiRègles
If Zyn airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the Governing League
- A qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., "This halftime show brought to you by..."), or branded content integration with prominent display.
- The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends.
- Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify.
- Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.
- If Temu airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- 241,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 128 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 349,4 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which brands will advertise during the Big Game? ?
- Kalshi cote Disney+ à 94% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which brands will advertise during the Big Game? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which brands will advertise during the Big Game? doit être résolu le 15 février 2027.
- Comment Which brands will advertise during the Big Game? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Zyn airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.