KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 19.0% 99%+60.0ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
17,8 k €
Liquidité
32,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
31 août 26, 16:007 sept. 26, 14:00
Tendances
Règles
If OpenAI scores above 16.5% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated values for the week of Aug 31, 2026.
- If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If OpenAI scores above 17.5% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.3pt55.9%
- ChatGPT+0.6pt25.5%
- Grok+2.5pt8.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 61 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-5.5pt67%
- 1490+-9.5pt54%
- 1500+-15.0pt31%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude77.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt14.3%
- Gemini2.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 292,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 44,2 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,91%
- December 15,85%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,2 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- No-14.0pt72%
- Yes+14.0pt28%
- Volume total
- 172,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 36,9 k €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027-3.0pt95%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt95%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Claude 6 released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will any company achieve AGI?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour OpenAI market share this week ?
- Kalshi cote Above 19.0% à 99% au 7 septembre 2026.
- Quand OpenAI market share this week sera-t-il résolu ?
- OpenAI market share this week doit être résolu le 7 septembre 2026.
- Comment OpenAI market share this week est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If OpenAI scores above 16.5% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.