PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 87%+3.0ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
11,6 k €
Liquidité
32,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
4 sept. 26, 14:5831 déc. 27, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 6 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Claude" and be designated as version 6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- Any of Anthropic's general-purpose model families qualifies, including Fable, Opus, Sonnet, Haiku, or a successor general-purpose family, provided the version designation of 6 or higher appears in the name or model identifier.
- For example, Claude Fable 6, Claude Opus 6, Claude Sonnet 6, or a later version such as Claude Fable 6.1 or Claude 7 would qualify, while models that retain a version designation below 6, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Opus 5, and models that do not carry an explicit version number of 6 or higher in their name or identifier, regardless of how they are described or positioned, will not qualify.
- A Mythos-branded release available only through Anthropic's verification or trusted-access programs, and task-specific products or restricted lines such as Claude Code, Claude Gov, or Claude Security, will not qualify on their own.
Marchés ouverts
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.3pt55.9%
- ChatGPT+0.6pt25.5%
- Grok+2.5pt8.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 61 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-5.5pt67%
- 1490+-9.5pt54%
- 1500+-15.0pt31%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude77.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt14.3%
- Gemini2.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 292,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 44,2 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,91%
- December 15,85%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,2 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- No-14.0pt72%
- Yes+14.0pt28%
- Volume total
- 172,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 36,9 k €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027-3.0pt95%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt95%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
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- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will any company achieve AGI?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Claude 6 released by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December à 87% au 7 septembre 2026.
- Quand Claude 6 released by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Claude 6 released by which date? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Claude 6 released by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 6 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).