PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 20:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 83.2%+1.5pt
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
28,6 €
Liquidité
2,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
16.0% / 17.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
17
Variation 7j
+9.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète28 oct. 25, 15:0131 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- September 30+7.5pt100%
- September 15+11.9pt100%
- September 9+18.4pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 613,3 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- October 31+4.3pt96%
- September 30-0.9pt84%
- September 2581%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- September 30-1.0pt96%
- October 31-1.4pt96%
- September 11+43.5pt91%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.1pt65.4%
- ChatGPT+2.8pt15.9%
- Grok-1.7pt9.3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 8,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+16.5pt76.8%
- Moonshot-9.8pt13.1%
- Z.ai-6.5pt6.1%
+8 résultats de plus
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 83% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET.