KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Before Oct 1, 2026 (92%)
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Oct 1, 2026 92%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
10,2 k €
Liquidité
9,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
96.0% / 98.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète8 sept. 26, 06:48 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Chronologie des Probabilités
Before Oct 1, 202692%
Before Jan 1, 202765%
92%
91%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiAI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsMillennium: Prize Problem solution published before 2028 and verified?
Manifold MarketsWill a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If OpenAI announces a complete solution, developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:OpenAI
- The qualifying announcement must expressly state that OpenAI developed or co-developed the solution, or expressly identify outside researchers as having collaborated with OpenAI on developing that solution.
- The qualifying problems are the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, P versus NP, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem.
- Work by an independent ChatGPT user does NOT count, even if OpenAI publicizes it.
- Providing model access or research credits alone is not direct collaboration on the solution.
- Partial results, numerical evidence, or formalization of a previously known solution do NOT count as a complete solution.