KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above -0.62 98%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,5 k €
Liquidité
13,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
14 sept. 26, 19:00 UTC30 sept. 26, 12:29 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August
KalshiCPI-U index in September
KalshiWill the US Consumer Confidence Index be above 68 in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Consumer Confidence Index be above 72 in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Consumer Confidence Index be above 76 in September 2026?
ForecastExWhat will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending September 25, 2026 is above
Règlement via:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
- -0.62, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (“NFCI”) refers to the headline NFCI published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- It does not refer to the Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index (“ANFCI”) or any individual component or contribution to the NFCI.
- This market will resolve using the NFCI value for the week ending September 25, 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago update that reports that week.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Marchés ouverts
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt54.5%
- No change-6.0pt43.6%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 935,7 k €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt43.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66%
- No change-1.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt58.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+5.6pt23.5%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt16.7%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.8pt5%
- Exactly 5 cuts0%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 8,5 M €
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in October?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September ?
- Kalshi cote Above -0.62 à 98% au 19 septembre 2026.
- Quand Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September sera-t-il résolu ?
- Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending September 25, 2026 is above