KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above -0.40 98%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
58 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,7 k €
Liquidité
3,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
14 sept. 26, 19:00 UTC21 sept. 26, 12:24 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
KalshiFed rate decision in October 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)Bank of Japan Decision in October?
PolymarketUS active housing listings in September
KalshiFed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
Robinhood (Rothera)Bank of Canada Decision in December?
PolymarketRègles
If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above
Règlement via:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago - CFNAI
- -0.40, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index.
- This market will resolve using the value for August 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the August 2026 CFNAI.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Marchés ouverts
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt54.5%
- No change-6.0pt43.6%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 935,7 k €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt43.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66%
- No change-1.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt58.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+5.6pt23.5%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt16.7%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.8pt5%
- Exactly 5 cuts0%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 8,5 M €
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in October?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August ?
- Kalshi cote Above -0.40 à 98% au 19 septembre 2026.
- Quand Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August sera-t-il résolu ?
- Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August doit être résolu le 21 septembre 2026.
- Comment Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above