KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 95%+8.0pt
Qualité du marché
65 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
453 €
Liquidité
7,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
95.0% / 98.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
27 juil. 26, 21:45 UTC1 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?
KalshiWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
Manifold MarketsWill Netanyahu visit New York City by which date?
PolymarketWill Netanyahu visit New York City by which date?
LimitlessWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the leader of the Likud party for the next Israeli legislative elections? 🗳️
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Benjamin Netanyahu has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of New York City before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The GuardianFox NewsSemaforThe InformationCNBCthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersThe New York Times
- The following do NOT constitute a visit:
- Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period
- For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one.
- Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit.
- Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 719,6 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8 k €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 résultats de plus
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Benjamin Netanyahu has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of New York City before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.