KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore Nov 1, 2026 12%
Qualite du marche
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
180,8 €
Liquidité
15,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
10.0% / 14.0%
Spread
40.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
10 mars 26, 14:001 nov. 26, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before Nov 1, 202612%
Comparer les plateformes· Before Nov 1, 2026
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global88% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 7% | — | 251,2 € | 10,7 k € | il y a 8 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette page | Faible | 12% | — | 180,8 € | 15,4 k € | il y a 8 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by which date?
1.0%5mo
+1.0%7%
-0.6%0%
52 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité moyenne
Volume total419,6 k €
Volume 24h251,2 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$2063 juil.13j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
1,9 M €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
992,1 k €Oui: 20%POLYMARKET
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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
711,7 k €August 31: 68%POLYMARKET
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
256,7 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Benjamin Netanyahu say during Sunday Morning Futures?
109,3 k €Event does not qualify: 1%KALSHI
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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
37,9 k €Above 50: 32%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.