KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2027 49%+21.0ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Before 2027 49%+21.0ptQualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
169,8 €
Intérêt ouvert
19,7 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
21 sept. 26, 23:00 UTC1 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Before SeptemberPerdu
Before OctoberPerdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Grok 4.8+ (xAI) release date
Manifold MarketsWill xAI release a video game before 2027?
KalshiWill Legally Blonde 3 release before Grok 6?
Manifold MarketsWill xAI release a game made entirely with AI that is better made than the best made Roblox game in the next 5 yrs?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI market share this week
KalshiDeepSeek market share this week
KalshiRègles
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:xAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before 2027
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before December
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before November
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Grok 5 (xAI) release date · Before 2027 52%
