KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore 2027 58.7%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualite du marche
50 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
57,1 €
Liquidité
18,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
41.0% / 47.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
1 janv. 26, 15:001 oct. 26, 3:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before October40%
Comparer les plateformes· Before 2027
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 64% | — | 57,1 € | 18,6 k € | il y a 8 minutes | |
 Manifold Markets90% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 5% | — | — | — | avant-hier | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Grok 5 (xAI) release date
1mo
-11.0pt5.2%
-5.1pt2.3%
0%
+10 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire64 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$652 juil.24j de données27 juil.
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KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.