KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 94%
Qualité du marché
53 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
9,2 €
Liquidité
5,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
5.0% / 10.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
9 oct. 25, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Grok 5 (xAI) release date
Manifold MarketsWhich month will JonTron release his next video?
Manifold MarketsWill the first major multimodal DeepSeek release be video oriented and suited for robot control?
Manifold MarketsWhen will xAI release Grok 5?
KalshiPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
If xAI releases Video Game to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:xAI
- Video Game: For the purposes of this contract, a video game is defined as an interactive digital experience in which a user provides input that directly influences on-screen or in-environment outcomes rendered by a computer, console, or equivalent digital device.
- This includes, but is not limited to:
- Console games (e.g., PlayStation, Xbox, Nintendo)
- PC games (including downloadable or cloud-based experiences)
- Mobile games (apps available on iOS, Android, or equivalent platforms)
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8 k €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,6 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will xAI release a video game before 2027? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 94% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will xAI release a video game before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will xAI release a video game before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will xAI release a video game before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If xAI releases Video Game to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.