Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
2.0 pts (24h)FedOne-OffPolitiqueBanques centrales2mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Reserve President Rejected · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Prix enregistré
Reserve President Rejected 14.5%En tête parmi 5 options
Reserve President Rejected 14.5%Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,2 €
Intérêt ouvert
16,4 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Reserve President RejectedÉcart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
5 mai 26, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Reserve President Rejected
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?
KalshiWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
FutuurWho will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump visit the Federal Reserve this year?
KalshiFederal reserve won't exist in 2027
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the Board of Governors does not approve the reappointment of a Federal Reserve Bank president after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Clarification 9/28/26: “Dot Plot Omitted” refers to a published Summary of Economic Projections omitting individual participants’ federal funds rate projections as a whole. The absence of a projection from one or more participants does not qualify if other participants’ individual projections are published. Those projections count regardless of their presentation format or whether the term “dot plot” is used.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Reserve President Rejected
- If the Board of Governors does not approve the reappointment of a Federal Reserve Bank president after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Presser Skipped
- If the Federal Reserve Chair does not hold a press conference following a regularly scheduled Federal Open Market Committee meeting after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trimmed Mean Emphasized
- If a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement emphasizes trimmed-mean or median inflation measures after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dot Plot Omitted
- If a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reserve President Removed
- If the Board of Governors removes a Federal Reserve Bank president from office after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
