KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
0.4% / 3.2%
Écart
2.8 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
21 nov. 24, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
100%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
FutuurRègles
If the Federal Reserve System has ended before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 96,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,4 M €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+7.0pt62.4%
- Fed maintains rate-10.0pt34.6%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 37,4 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt58.1%
- Fed maintains rate35.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.3%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 384,1 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+1.4pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.6pt1%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 80,4 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Fed Decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 100% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Federal Reserve System has ended before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.