KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
More than 100,000 27%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
5,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
20 janv. 26, 01:00 UTC4 mars 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
KalshiHow much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
KalshiRègles
If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At the time of issuance, 2.738 Million Federal Employees are reported for the December 2025 figure.
- If there are more than 150000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If there are more than 200000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If there are more than 250000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If there are more than 300000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 45,5 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume total
- 997 k €
- Volume 24h
- 41,2 k €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many government employees will Trump cut? ?
- Kalshi cote More than 100,000 à 27% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many government employees will Trump cut? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many government employees will Trump cut? doit être résolu le 4 mars 2027.
- Comment How many government employees will Trump cut? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.