How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
0.1 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection5mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
At least 250 billion · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
At least 250 billion 5.1%En tête parmi 6 options
At least 250 billion 5.1%Qualité du marché
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,1 €
Intérêt ouvert
83,3 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
At least 250 billionÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
13 nov. 24, 03:00 UTC31 mars 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · At least 250 billion
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
KalshiGovernment spending increase in 2026
KalshiWhat will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many government employees will Trump cut?
KalshiWill Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
If government spending decreases by at least 250 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:FRED
Règles de chaque résultat
- At least 250 billion
- If government spending decreases by at least 250 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2026 is compared against Q4 2024.
- At least 1 trillion
- If government spending decreases by at least 1000 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2 trillion
- If government spending decreases by at least 2000 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 750 billion
- If government spending decreases by at least 750 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 500 billion
- If government spending decreases by at least 500 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.