How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
At least $1 billion · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
At least $1 billion 5.5%En tête parmi 10 options
At least $1 billion 5.5%Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
35,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
At least $1 billionÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
14 août 26, 14:30 UTC31 mars 29, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · At least $1 billion
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
KalshiWhat will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
PolymarketWill the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:FRED
- Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 is compared against Q4 2024.
Règles de chaque résultat
- At least $1 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 150 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $150 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 500 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $500 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2 trillion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $2000 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 250 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $250 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 750 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $750 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 100 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $100 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1 trillion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1000 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 200 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $200 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.