How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
86.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least $1 billion 12%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
33,3 €
Liquidité
29,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
22 juil. 26, 15:00 UTC31 mars 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
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PolymarketRègles
If government spending (FGEXPND) is the named outcome below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:FRED
- Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 is compared against Q4 2024.
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $100 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $150 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $200 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends? ?
- Kalshi cote At least $1 billion à 12% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends? doit être résolu le 31 mars 2029.
- Comment How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If government spending (FGEXPND) is the named outcome below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.