Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
One-OffUS PoliticsGéopolitique2a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 93%
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≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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3,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
6.9% / 9.9%
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3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
18 juil. 25, 14:00 UTC20 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to any 3rd Amendment case before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Supreme Court
- The case must meet the following requirements: (1) The petition for certiorari explicitly raises a claim or question under the Third Amendment to the United States Constitution as a question presented; OR (2) The lower court decision being appealed explicitly addressed a Third Amendment claim on the merits; OR (3) The Supreme Court's order granting certiorari explicitly identifies a Third Amendment issue as a question for review.
- For the avoidance of doubt: A case where the Third Amendment is mentioned only in passing, in dicta, or as part of a general constitutional analysis without being a distinct claim SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion A case where the Third Amendment is raised only in amicus briefs but not by the parties SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: the Court grants cert in a case where a homeowner challenges military housing requirements under the Third Amendment; the Court grants cert in a case where the question presented is "Whether police officers qualify as 'soldiers' under the Third Amendment”; the Court grants cert where a lower court ruled on the scope of Third Amendment protections and that ruling is being appealed.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to any 3rd Amendment case before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.