Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.2%
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète12 juil. 25, 22:21 UTC21 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
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PolymarketRègles
This market resolves Yes if Nate Silver's aggregator currently sited here: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin ever shows Donald Trump's current approval rating as 47.0% or higher between now and when he ends his second presidential term for any reason.
- Otherwise, if Trump dies, is successfully removed via impeachment, or ends his second term for any reason, this market will resolve No once any pending polls are added.
- The spirit of this market pertains to actual approval of Trump's actual legal term, so if his second term is extended via autocratic action or if postmortem polls are added for some glitchy/negligent reason, the market will have already resolved and will stay resolved.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends? doit être résolu le 21 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves Yes if Nate Silver's aggregator currently sited here: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin ever shows Donald Trump's current approval rating as 47.0% or higher between now and when he ends his second presidential term for any reason.