Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 11:05 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.4%
Prévisionnistes
45
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète12 juil. 25, 22:21 UTC21 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump’s approval rating at the end of his second term be at least as low as Joe Biden’s?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating get during his term?
KalshiWill there be a general strike in the United States before Trump's second term ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves Yes if Nate Silver's aggregator currently sited here: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin ever shows Donald Trump's current approval rating as 47.0% or higher between now and when he ends his second presidential term for any reason.
- Otherwise, if Trump dies, is successfully removed via impeachment, or ends his second term for any reason, this market will resolve No once any pending polls are added.
- The spirit of this market pertains to actual approval of Trump's actual legal term, so if his second term is extended via autocratic action or if postmortem polls are added for some glitchy/negligent reason, the market will have already resolved and will stay resolved.
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