KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Below 36% · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Below 36% 93%En tête parmi 7 options
Below 36% 93%Qualité du marché
25 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
235,3 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
Below 36%Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
15 oct. 26, 15:05 UTC27 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Below 36%
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiTrump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump’s approval rating at the end of his second term be at least as low as Joe Biden’s?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 32%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:VoteHub
- In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Below 36%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 36%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 35%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 35%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 34%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 34%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 33%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 33%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 32%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 32%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 31%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 31%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 30%
- If Donald Trump's average approval rating during Jan 20, 2025 to Jan 20, 2029 as reported by VoteHub is below 30%, then the market resolves to Yes.